bigdata-catalyst-monitor

Build bull, base, and bear cases for a public company using Bigdata.com data — with explicit line-item assumptions, justified probability weights summing to 100%, a value or price per scenario with the bridge shown, a probability-weighted expected value and expected return versus spot, the upside/downside skew and risk-reward ratio, and what would move probability between the cases. Triggers: "scenario analysis for X", "bull base bear for X", "what's the upside and downside on X", "expected value for X", "probability-weighted view on X", "risk reward on X", "model out the cases for X".

Write a day-179 post-IPO note on the 180-day lock-up expiry using Bigdata.com data plus filings and market data. Covers lock-up terms from the prospectus (expiry date, covered holders, share count, early-release provisions), float and overhang math (post-expiry float, days-to-trade versus ADV), insider and VC selling-intention signals, positioning into the event (short interest, borrow, options skew), the historical lock-up-expiry effect with analogs, and a two-sided read. Balanced, no buy/avoid call. Triggers: "180-day lock-up expiry for X", "lockup expiration impact", "post-IPO day 179", "shares unlocking for X", "insider selling after lockup", "float expansion at lockup".

Write a day-365 post-IPO note on the 366-day founder and significant-investor lock-up expiry and float expansion toward 15-20%, using Bigdata.com data plus filings and market data. Covers the staggered lock-up structure from the prospectus, float expansion math and days-to-trade, the offsetting float-adjusted index reweight demand netted against new supply, a realistic read on whether founders actually sell, the dual-class governance angle, and a two-sided setup. Balanced, no buy/avoid call. Triggers: "366-day lock-up for X", "founder lock-up expiry", "float expansion for X", "post-IPO one year lockup", "index reweight after float increase", "founder selling after IPO".

Produce a balanced pre-IPO research note on an upcoming, not-yet-listed company using its S-1/F-1 plus Bigdata.com data. Covers deal structure (price range, shares, greenshoe, implied valuation, underwriters, lock-ups, share classes), two years plus interim financials, business model and funding history, TAM and listed comparables, IPO-window conditions, and 90-day sentiment — closing with bull and bear debates and watch points, never a participate/avoid call. Triggers: "analyze the IPO of X", "S-1 analysis", "upcoming listing for X", "IPO report on X", "should I look at X's IPO", "pre-IPO research on X", "X IPO valuation".

Give a fast, PM-style quick take on a stock using Bigdata.com data — a one-line current view, the 2-3 drivers that actually matter right now, the key risks and what would change the view, and the near-term setup with the next catalyst. Deliberately short: one page, no full thesis, no model. Triggers: "quick take on X", "what do you think of X", "give me a fast view on X", "thoughts on X", "X in a nutshell", "one-liner on X", "is X interesting right now".

Compare regions or blocs using Bigdata.com data — economic indicators, market performance, and cross-asset views — and turn that into an allocation recommendation. Covers growth, inflation, policy and labor per region, comparative developed-versus-emerging analysis, regional equity valuations, and fixed income and currency views for each. Triggers: "compare US vs Europe vs Asia", "which regions look attractive", "regional allocation", "developed vs emerging markets", "Europe vs US equities", "global allocation view".

Produce a comprehensive risk assessment for a public company using Bigdata.com data (10-K risk factors, 8-K material events, news, tearsheet financials). Covers six categories — regulatory and legal, competitive and moat erosion, operational, financial and balance sheet, macro, and management and governance — each rated by likelihood and impact, with a distress screen when leverage is stretched, mitigation status, a priority matrix, and a scenario bridge to value drivers. Triggers: "risk assessment for X", "assess risks for X", "what are the risks with X", "what could go wrong at X", "risk factors for X", "how risky is X", "downside risks for X".

State explicitly where your view on a public company differs from consensus, using Bigdata.com data. Establishes the consensus baseline from estimates and sell-side posture, applies the EPIC filter to candidate differentiators, frames the view on FaVeS (fundamentals, valuation, sentiment), and states the variant view as a specific, falsifiable claim with a time horizon — plus what the market is missing, why the mispricing persists, the evidence for the view, and what would disprove it. Triggers: "variant perception on X", "where do I differ from consensus on X", "what is the market missing on X", "non-consensus view on X", "what's priced in versus reality for X", "contrarian case for X".

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飞书多维表格（Base）操作：建表、字段、记录、视图、统计、公式/lookup、表单、仪表盘、应用模式（BaseApp/AppMode 页面与组件）、Workspace 目录、workflow、角色权限、模板中心（多维表格模板分类/列表/搜索）；遇到 Base/多维表格/bitable、BaseApp/AppMode、/base/ 或 /app/ 链接时使用。BaseApp 不走 lark-apps；文件导入/导出转 lark-drive，认证/授权转 lark-shared。

Use for lark-cli setup/auth tasks: auth login/status/logout, user vs bot identity, business-domain permissions (--domain, including all/docs/drive), missing scopes, revoking authorization, or handling _notice JSON.

飞书知识库：管理知识空间、空间成员和文档节点。创建和查询知识空间、查看和管理空间成员、管理节点层级结构、在知识库中组织文档和快捷方式。当用户需要在知识库中查找或创建文档、浏览知识空间结构、查看或管理空间成员、移动或复制节点时使用。当用户给出 doubao.com 的 /wiki/ URL/token 时，也应直接使用本 skill，不要因为域名不是飞书而回退到 WebFetch；路由依据是 URL 路径模式和 token，而不是域名。不负责：上传文件到知识库节点下（走 lark-drive）、编辑文档/表格/Base 内容（走 lark-doc / lark-sheets / lark-base）。

飞书任务：管理任务、清单和任务智能体。创建待办任务、查看和更新任务状态、拆分子任务、组织任务清单、分配协作成员、上传任务附件、注册或注销任务智能体、更新任务智能体的主页数据、写入智能体任务记录。当用户需要创建待办事项、查看任务列表、跟踪任务进度、管理项目清单或给他人分配任务、为任务上传附件文件、注册注销任务智能体、更新智能体主页数据、写入任务记录时使用。